It's getting hard to know what to write about at this point in the midterms.  Everything is so damn fluid—especially in the Senate race. 

A week ago, Democrat Harold Ford was up in Tennessee, with a new ad put out by the Republicans that seemed to shame them.  Now, he's down.  Democrat Bob Menendez seemed to be tanking over ethics, yet has now crawled back to a small but sustained lead in New Jersey.  Ben Cardin was running away with it in Maryland, and now is only leading within the margin of error over the Republican, Michael Steele.

With the Michael J. Fox controversy in Missouri, it's anybody's guess who benefits there—Claire McCaskill, because of independent and Democratic support of stem-cell research, or Jim Talent, because of the motivation this kind of thing brings to his religious base.  Conrad Burns (Montana) and Lincoln Chafee(Rhode Island) still seem like Republican toast, and unfortunately, so does Jim Webb in Virginia for the Democrats. 

But nothing can be assumed at this point.  There is still enough time, money, and voter turnout mobilization left to make this anybody's game.  Throw in the New Jersey gay marriage decision, and it's even murkier.  What once appeared to be a demoralized Christian conservative base for the GOP could now be ignited.  We just don't know. 

There is only time left for one more meaningful round of polling (does that sound like a contradiction in terms, or what?!).  Trouble is, with so many seats in play, in so many states, in so many different media markets, we aren't going to get one uniform round of polling.  The surveys will be staggered, so they're going to hit different parts of each news cycle, meaning that any breaking revelations about a candidate are going to play differently, locally, and with varying degrees of impact on this so-called "national" election.

No one knows anything right now.  The professional pundits and prognosticators are just calling what sounds good, what reflects their personal bias, and crossing their fingers that they're actually right.  The amateurs, like myself, have the luxury of being totally wrong.

That said, it still looks like the Dems take the House.  Unfortunately, it looks a lot less likely they take the Senate.