I must admit, you did have me tempering my optimism on WI quite a bit; I actually thought it was going to be a close match. Well, I can admit when I'm wrong.
After a string of morbid loss predictions for Obama (Louisiana, Maine, Virginia, and Wisconsin), I am discovering I am not the most reliable predictor of elections! Another reader scolded yesterday, "What's up with you? It's all doom and gloom over there on Obama!"
In my defense, I see my "predictions" as more of an antidote to the mass-media hysteria that demands, demands total vanquishing of the Clinton machine before handing Obama any electoral cred. As I try to constantly remind myself, and anyone who will listen: Obama should not be where is today. He should have been out the first week of January. He is up against an institutionalized power-couple with 16 years control over the Democratic Party. His every victory should hence be treated as a revolt against the conventional wisdom, not an entrenchment of it.
I also just like lowering expectations in order to steel myself for the inevitable losses to come—whether they land on the nominating calendar, or the general election. We have learned all too well this season that the best indicator of political doom is the gloating, carefree assumption of future success.
That said, I think Obama has a good shot at winning Texas. There, you happy?
