It was great because Bill Richardson owes almost his entire career to the Clintons. They made him Secretary of Energy. They made him United States Ambassador to the U.N. These career opportunities laid the path for him to easily win election in 2002 as Governor of New Mexico, in an otherwise extremely rough year for Democrats. And still, he endorsed Barack Obama today.
It was great because it capped an otherwise extremely rough week for Barack Obama—the worst yet of his campaign. A week in which not only did the Rev. Wright scandal threaten to harm his candidacy on the merits, it threatened to convince superdelegates, and the media, that perhaps Obama was not as electable in the GE as everyone originally thought.
Bill Richardson's endorsement was intentionally a big statement to the contrary: "This Wright nonsense doesn't mean anything. After the Kennedys, the Clintons, and the Obamas, I am the big Poo-Bah in the party, and I say this guy is far more electable than Hillary. I see you and raise you!"
It was great because it followed the news that Florida and Michigan will not be holding revotes. That means that Bill Richardson sees the writing on the wall, and is using this endorsement to announce that "Hillary, it is OVER. You cannot catch up in the pledged delegates. You cannot, without MI and FL, catch up in the popular vote. You are, in fact, behind by at least 700,000 votes. It is OVER." And a lot of other superdelegates are going to take the hint.
And with that said, let me introduce the most important column of the day. From The Politico:
One big fact has largely been lost in the recent coverage of the Democratic presidential race: Hillary Rodham Clinton has virtually no chance of winning.
Her own campaign acknowledges there is no way that she will finish ahead in pledged delegates. That means the only way she wins is if Democratic superdelegates are ready to risk a backlash of historic proportions from the party’s most reliable constituency.
Unless Clinton is able to at least win the primary popular vote — which also would take nothing less than an electoral miracle — and use that achievement to pressure superdelegates, she has only one scenario for victory. An African-American opponent and his backers would be told that, even though he won the contest with voters, the prize is going to someone else.
People who think that scenario is even remotely likely are living on another planet.
As it happens, many people inside Clinton’s campaign live right here on Earth. One important Clinton adviser estimated to Politico privately that she has no more than a 10 percent chance of winning her race against Barack Obama, an appraisal that was echoed by other operatives.
Been feeling down about the Rev. Wright comments? Please, read the entire thing.
3/22/2008 11:48 AM
sasha wrote:
Thanks for the column. I'm been feeling down after the crappy week and witht he new national polls. I know they mean nothing about what actual voters are doing, but just worried they will influence superdelegates. But you've made me feel better. By the way, hate to be so behind the times, but what are the little green plus-signs you can click on below each column? Reply to this
3/24/2008 5:40 PM
RSVP wrote:
Attention WILL: Please access my e mail (which will not be published) and drop me a line. I saw your valiant effort to communicate with the incommunicable group at noquarter, and would like to write to you directly. Thanks. Reply to this
3/24/2008 9:05 PM
RSVP wrote:
ATTENTION; WILL You wrote on noquarter: Comment by Will | 2008-03-24 20:11:38
just wrote you rsvp–thanks!
Where? I can't locate it. Can you access my e mail? Reply to this
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